Marburg vs Viktoria Griesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
FVB
4 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAU
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ERZ
4 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Griesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VIK
2 - 4
KKA
16%
20%
65%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
FVB
5 - 0
VIK
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
VIK
0 - 5
GOR
23%
24%
53%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAU
4 - 1
VIK
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VIK
1 - 5
HES
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -2 |