VfB Krieschow vs FC Grimma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
10º
3º
34
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 33 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
64% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
69% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
77.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BUD
4 - 3
VFB
32%
22%
47%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 1
SVA
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 2
LFC
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 1
VFB
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 1
EWD
60%
18%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 1
SVG
37%
23%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SVG
6 - 3
FSV
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 0
SVG
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SVG
2 - 1
EIN
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 3
SVG
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |