Oberliga Northeast-South Round 24

VfB Krieschow vs FC Grimma analysis

VfB Krieschow FC Grimma
36 ELO 25
9.3% Tilt 6.5%
4467º General ELO ranking 6946º
201º Country ELO ranking 351º
ELO win probability
73.1%
VfB Krieschow
15.6%
Draw
11.3%
FC Grimma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
VfB Krieschow
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.3%
Win probability
FC Grimma
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Krieschow
+71%
-37%
FC Grimma

Points and table prediction

VfB Krieschow
Their league position
FC Grimma
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
16º
42
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eilenburg
71
71
100%
VfB Krieschow
65
65
100%
Bischofswerdaer
59
59
100%
VFC Plauen
57
57
100%
Budissa Bautzen
54
54
100%
Auerbach
50
50
100%
SC Freital
50
50
100%
Union Sandersdorf
49
49
100%
Einheit Wernigerode
48
48
100%
Einheit Rudolstadt
10º
47
47
10º
100%
VfL Halle
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Ludwigsfelder FC
12º
43
43
12º
100%
FC Grimma
13º
42
42
13º
100%
FC An der Fahner Höhe
14º
41
41
14º
100%
Wacker Nordhausen
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
16º
31
31
16º
100%
SV 1890 Westerhausen
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfB Krieschow
FC Grimma
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

VfB Krieschow
FC Grimma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Krieschow
VfB Krieschow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
VFB
VfB Krieschow
2 - 0
FC An der Fahner Höhe
FCA
75%
15%
10%
35 26 9 0
18 Feb. 2023
VFB
VfB Krieschow
4 - 0
Einheit Wernigerode
EWD
68%
17%
15%
33 27 6 +2
11 Feb. 2023
EIN
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 - 2
VfB Krieschow
VFB
26%
22%
52%
33 26 7 0
04 Feb. 2023
VFB
VfB Krieschow
6 - 1
Wacker Nordhausen
WAC
73%
16%
12%
32 23 9 +1
10 Dec. 2022
VFB
VfB Krieschow
4 - 1
Budissa Bautzen
BUD
66%
18%
17%
32 25 7 0

Matches

FC Grimma
FC Grimma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
EIL
Eilenburg
2 - 0
FC Grimma
SVG
69%
18%
13%
26 37 11 0
18 Feb. 2023
SVG
FC Grimma
1 - 0
FC An der Fahner Höhe
FCA
50%
23%
27%
25 26 1 +1
11 Feb. 2023
OBE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
0 - 2
FC Grimma
SVG
44%
24%
33%
24 24 0 +1
04 Feb. 2023
SVG
FC Grimma
1 - 4
Einheit Wernigerode
EWD
49%
21%
30%
25 26 1 -1
14 Jan. 2023
SVG
FC Grimma
1 - 3
Viktoria Berlin
VIK
14%
19%
67%
26 46 20 -1