VfB Krieschow vs SC Freital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
12%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
11º
6º
40
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
3 - 1
VFB
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 3
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 3
VFB
29%
21%
50%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 0
VFL
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 8
VFB
17%
18%
66%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
LFC
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
SCF
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SGD
6 - 0
SCF
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
4 - 2
EWD
55%
21%
23%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SVG
2 - 1
SCF
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |