VfB Krieschow vs Heiligenstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.4%
1.7%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
7º
1º
1
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
7º
|
3 | 62 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 59 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 57 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 56 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 54 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 47 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 45 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 44 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 44 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 40 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 32 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 14 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 13 |
16º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
VFB
1 - 2
EWD
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
VEG
0 - 3
VFB
5%
13%
82%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
VFB
2 - 3
ACL
61%
19%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
VFB
4 - 2
GER
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LFC
0 - 2
VFB
5%
13%
82%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Heiligenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 2
SCH
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SCH
1 - 2
GER
7%
15%
78%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 4
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FSV
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SGE
3 - 1
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |