Homberg vs VfB Uerdingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RHE
0 - 1
VFB
60%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VFB
5 - 1
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VFB
2 - 1
WES
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DSV
2 - 1
VFB
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FSV
1 - 1
VFB
49%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Uerdingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
VUE
3 - 1
WES
42%
22%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VUE
0 - 0
KLE
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NET
1 - 0
VUE
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VUE
2 - 5
RHE
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SPV
0 - 3
VUE
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |