Homberg vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
VFB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
VFB
0 - 4
MSV
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
KLE
3 - 0
VFB
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
VFB
1 - 2
DIE
36%
24%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
STR
2 - 2
VFB
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 1
DUS
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
BER
1 - 1
VEL
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
AAA
4 - 0
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VEL
4 - 1
WUP
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
BAY
2 - 0
VEL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |