VfB Durach vs SC Aufkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+159%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Durach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ERK
0 - 0
DUR
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
DUR
0 - 1
SCH
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUR
3 - 0
EKA
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
DUR
52%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 0
DUR
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SC Aufkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCA
2 - 0
TSV
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 1
SCA
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SCA
2 - 0
SCO
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 1
SCO
37%
23%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 3
SCA
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |