VF Colligiana vs Castelvetro analysis


33	ELO	28
-7.3%	Tilt	-18.7%
19439º	General ELO ranking	36342º
463º	Country ELO ranking	1158º
ELO win probability

61.8%

VF Colligiana

19.3%

Draw

18.9%

Castelvetro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

61.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%

19.3%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

8.4%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

19.3%

18.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VF Colligiana

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Aug. 2016	GAV 1 - 1 VFC 58% 23% 20%	33	37	4	0
08 May. 2016	GHI 2 - 2 VFC 50% 23% 27%	33	31	2	0
01 May. 2016	VFC 1 - 0 USP 34% 28% 39%	31	40	9	+2
24 Apr. 2016	SCA 1 - 2 VFC 39% 27% 34%	31	26	5	0
17 Apr. 2016	VFC 2 - 0 SAN 47% 26% 27%	29	31	2	+2