Switzerland Fourth Division Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Vevey Sports vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vevey Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VEV
4 - 2
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ECH
2 - 5
VEV
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VEV
0 - 0
SEC
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
VEV
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VEV
1 - 1
SIO
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
LUG
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCP
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 3
LUG
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LUG
4 - 0
UZW
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KRE
1 - 0
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |