Verl vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WEG
0 - 1
VER
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
WAT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ERN
5 - 0
VER
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VER
2 - 0
DIE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
WIE
0 - 1
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 3
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 4
BOR
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 1
WEG
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 0
VEL
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 1
ERN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |