Verl vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
S04
2 - 3
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
ROT
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 2
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
PRE
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
VER
3 - 0
EIN
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
MAI
2 - 1
ROT
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 4
MAI
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MAI
3 - 1
WWO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CLO
0 - 3
MAI
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
MAI
1 - 0
EIN
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |