Verl vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
DRE
1 - 1
VER
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VER
1 - 1
CHE
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
KFC
0 - 2
VER
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
VER
2 - 1
LUB
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
OSN
5 - 1
VER
50%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
5 - 2
KÖL
36%
26%
37%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
WAT
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ERZ
4 - 0
KÖL
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 3
EBT
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |