Ventspils vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
JFK
0 - 5
VEN
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
RBS
4 - 0
VEN
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 3
RBS
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 1
TNS
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 2
VEN
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
DIN
0 - 2
FCD
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
FKD
3 - 0
DIN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
DIN
1 - 2
JFK
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
LIE
4 - 1
DIN
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
DIN
0 - 1
CLI
35%
26%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |