Venta De Baños vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venta De Baños
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
VDB
3 - 0
RAY
57%
24%
18%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GIM
3 - 1
VDB
55%
26%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
VDB
0 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CAY
2 - 0
VDB
56%
25%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
VDB
1 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
VCF
3 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATM
29%
28%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
SEV
6 - 1
BUR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |