Venta De Baños vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venta De Baños
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
VDB
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VDB
4 - 0
JOP
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
VDB
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VDB
0 - 2
VIL
39%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 2
VDB
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 3
CAS
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 3
CAS
63%
19%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAL
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |