Vénissieux vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
75.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vénissieux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 2
THI
70%
20%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CSL
2 - 0
VEN
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 0
LPS
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 1
SAI
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SMO
1 - 1
VEN
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ASN
0 - 3
ASS
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MPL
1 - 0
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 2
REI
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 1
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |