Lega Pro 2 . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Venezia vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
VNZ
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SAV
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FAN
4 - 5
VNZ
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 3
ACG
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
USA
0 - 0
VNZ
34%
25%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
VNZ
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
REN
4 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
USA
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ACG
2 - 1
REN
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |