Venezia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
VNZ
3 - 0
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
COM
2 - 1
VNZ
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
VNZ
1 - 0
USA
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 2
VNZ
38%
29%
32%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 1
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 1
GLA
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
BOL
3 - 3
FIO
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |