VELO vs HVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
3º
33
9º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
62.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEL
1 - 15
VEL
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 2
VEL
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
FSP
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DSO
2 - 0
VEL
53%
20%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 2
VAL
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
HVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HVV
2 - 1
UVS
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NOO
2 - 0
HVV
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HVV
3 - 2
SVW
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HVV
2 - 2
VOO
21%
19%
60%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DEL
0 - 9
HVV
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |