Velo Clube vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
VEL
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAP
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 3
CAP
26%
24%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |