Vélez C vs CD Tolox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CDV
5 - 0
VEL
63%
18%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 2
CDP
20%
20%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CDC
4 - 1
VEL
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
CDB
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDA
4 - 1
VEL
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 6
CDP
20%
20%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 0
TOL
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
AES
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
GUA
55%
19%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ALH
3 - 0
TOL
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |