Velebit vs Örgryte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 2
ORG
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LBK
0 - 5
ORG
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
ORG
0 - 2
LAN
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
ORG
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
ORG
3 - 0
QVI
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |