Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VEL
3 - 0
AAA
48%
25%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BER
2 - 1
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 2
USO
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 2
BSC
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AAA
3 - 0
VFB
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
VFB
0 - 1
BER
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
USO
0 - 2
VFB
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
VFB
0 - 0
SWE
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |