Velbert vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
WIE
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
S04
1 - 2
VEL
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 1
VEL
67%
19%
13%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
KRA
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 1
KRA
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 2
DIE
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 0
HUL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
DIE
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
DIE
1 - 3
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |