Velbert vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
STR
0 - 1
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
VFB
61%
20%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DUS
0 - 2
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 1
AAA
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
WUP
1 - 1
VEL
28%
27%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DIE
1 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MSV
0 - 1
DIE
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 1
KLE
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GEW
0 - 1
DIE
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
STR
1 - 2
DIE
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |