Velbert vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FCB
0 - 2
VEL
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BSC
0 - 2
VEL
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
RHE
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
VIK
0 - 3
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 0
BOR
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AAA
4 - 2
DIE
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
DIE
0 - 0
FCB
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
DIE
4 - 1
WUP
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 4
DIE
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |