Oberliga North Rhine-Westphalia Round 4

Velbert vs Gutersloh analysis

Velbert Gutersloh
30 ELO 34
8.6% Tilt 9.7%
2368º General ELO ranking 2661º
99º Country ELO ranking 115º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Velbert
25.7%
Draw
34.4%
Gutersloh

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Velbert
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.4%
Win probability
Gutersloh
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Velbert
+81%
+127%
Gutersloh

ELO progression

Velbert
Gutersloh
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Velbert
Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2008
BSC
Bonner SC
6 - 2
Velbert
VEL
51%
24%
24%
30 31 1 0
27 Aug. 2008
VEL
Velbert
1 - 2
Alemannia Aachen II
AAA
43%
25%
33%
31 35 4 -1
24 Aug. 2008
VEL
Velbert
2 - 2
Delbrücker SC
DSC
46%
26%
28%
30 35 5 +1
18 May. 2008
VEL
Velbert
4 - 4
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
69%
18%
13%
31 23 8 -1
12 May. 2008
BSC
Bonner SC
0 - 1
Velbert
VEL
55%
23%
22%
30 34 4 +1

Matches

Gutersloh
Gutersloh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2008
GUT
Gutersloh
0 - 0
Schermbeck
SCH
50%
24%
26%
35 36 1 0
24 Aug. 2008
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
5 - 0
Gutersloh
GUT
62%
20%
18%
36 35 1 -1
17 Aug. 2008
GUT
Gutersloh
2 - 0
Hammer SpVg
HAM
62%
21%
17%
36 31 5 0
01 Jun. 2008
GUT
Gutersloh
1 - 4
Sportfreunde Lotte
SPO
40%
26%
34%
38 43 5 -2
25 May. 2008
WHE
Westfalia Herne
2 - 0
Gutersloh
GUT
54%
24%
22%
39 42 3 -1