Velbert vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
ABI
36%
24%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ESS
4 - 4
VEL
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
KLE
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 3
MSV
50%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 4
WHE
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GEW
3 - 2
KÖL
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 4
AAA
70%
18%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 3
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 2
KÖL
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |