Velbert vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RWA
1 - 2
VEL
19%
20%
62%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 0
SPO
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VIK
5 - 1
VEL
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 2
VER
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
VEL
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AAA
3 - 1
WEG
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 1
AAA
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AAA
2 - 2
ERN
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
AAA
0 - 1
ROD
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DIE
2 - 1
AAA
19%
25%
57%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |