Tercera Division Round 24

Velarde CF vs CD Guarnizo analysis

Velarde CF CD Guarnizo
28 ELO 21
12.2% Tilt -2.2%
11684º General ELO ranking 7698º
1231º Country ELO ranking 356º
ELO win probability
72.3%
Velarde CF
17.5%
Draw
10.2%
CD Guarnizo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
Velarde CF
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.2%
Win probability
CD Guarnizo
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Velarde CF
-31%
+6%
CD Guarnizo

ELO progression

Velarde CF
CD Guarnizo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Velarde CF
Velarde CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2008
CAS
Castro
1 - 2
Velarde CF
VEL
31%
27%
42%
28 21 7 0
27 Jan. 2008
VEL
Velarde CF
1 - 0
Reocin
REO
57%
23%
19%
27 27 0 +1
20 Jan. 2008
TRO
Tropezón
3 - 0
Velarde CF
VEL
52%
26%
23%
28 31 3 -1
12 Jan. 2008
VEL
Velarde CF
4 - 0
SD Barreda Balompié
BAR
75%
16%
9%
28 20 8 0
06 Jan. 2008
VEL
Velarde CF
2 - 2
Noja
NOJ
29%
25%
46%
27 38 11 +1

Matches

CD Guarnizo
CD Guarnizo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2008
CUL
CD Guarnizo
0 - 0
Santoña CF
SAN
45%
26%
28%
21 22 1 0
27 Jan. 2008
ESC
UM Escobedo
1 - 0
CD Guarnizo
CUL
80%
14%
6%
21 37 16 0
20 Jan. 2008
CUL
CD Guarnizo
1 - 5
Gimnástica Torrelavega
GIM
13%
23%
64%
23 45 22 -2
12 Jan. 2008
RIB
Ribamontán al Mar
0 - 1
CD Guarnizo
CUL
62%
22%
16%
22 27 5 +1
06 Jan. 2008
SIE
Siete Villas
1 - 1
CD Guarnizo
CUL
39%
28%
34%
22 19 3 0