Vejle BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
12º
12º
36
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vejle BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
FCN
3 - 1
VEJ
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
VFF
3 - 1
VEJ
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
VEJ
2 - 2
BIF
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SIF
0 - 1
VEJ
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MID
2 - 1
VEJ
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
VFF
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 1
AGF
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 0
AAB
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SON
1 - 4
AGF
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 3
FCK
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |