Vatan Sport vs SV Hemelingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
10º
9º
65
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 2
VAT
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 3
SCH
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 1
VAT
66%
18%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 2
TKA
67%
18%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OSC
2 - 0
VAT
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
OSC
53%
19%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 4
SVH
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 3
HEE
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WER
2 - 6
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 3
OBE
52%
19%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |