Vatan Sport vs SV Hemelingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
58.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
10º
9º
65
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 2
VAT
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 3
SCH
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 1
VAT
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 2
TKA
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OSC
2 - 0
VAT
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
OSC
52%
19%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 4
SVH
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 3
HEE
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WER
2 - 6
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 3
OBE
51%
19%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |