Vatan Sport vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
56%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
10º
9º
45
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
VAT
0 - 1
UNI
28%
21%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 1
VAT
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 1
SGA
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 1
VAT
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 1
VAT
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 3
OBE
25%
19%
55%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
0 - 1
OSC
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WER
1 - 2
GEE
8%
12%
80%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
GEE
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 1
GEE
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -3 |