Ukraine Third Division Round 8

VAST Mykolaiv vs Chayka analysis

VAST Mykolaiv Chayka
54 ELO 48
2.1% Tilt 4.5%
49393º General ELO ranking 3563º
341º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
63.3%
VAST Mykolaiv
21.2%
Draw
15.4%
Chayka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
VAST Mykolaiv
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
Chayka
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

VAST Mykolaiv
Their league position
Chayka
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
32
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nyva Buzova
39
42
100%
Khust City
32
35
7%
Chayka
32
35
6%
Nyva Vinnytsya
32
35
19%
PFK Zvyagel
29
32
86%
Real Pharma
27
30
86%
VAST Mykolaiv
14
17
56%
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
15
15
61%
Rubikon
10º
4
9
66.5%
Kremin II
5
6
10º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
VAST Mykolaiv
Chayka
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 67.5%
Mid-table
100% 32.5%

ELO progression

VAST Mykolaiv
Chayka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VAST Mykolaiv
VAST Mykolaiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2022
VAM
VAST Mykolaiv
5 - 1
Rubikon
FRK
81%
13%
6%
54 37 17 0
14 Oct. 2022
FKC
Khust City
5 - 1
VAST Mykolaiv
VAM
47%
25%
28%
55 56 1 -1
25 Sep. 2022
VAM
VAST Mykolaiv
0 - 3
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
58%
23%
19%
57 51 6 -2
17 Sep. 2022
FNB
Nyva Buzova
3 - 2
VAST Mykolaiv
VAM
46%
27%
27%
57 59 2 0
12 Sep. 2022
VAM
VAST Mykolaiv
0 - 0
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
46%
25%
28%
57 57 0 0

Matches

Chayka
Chayka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
CHA
Chayka
3 - 3
Real Pharma
RPH
54%
24%
22%
47 43 4 0
08 Oct. 2022
FKK
Kremin II
1 - 1
Chayka
CHA
62%
21%
17%
46 51 5 +1
01 Oct. 2022
FKC
Khust City
0 - 0
Chayka
CHA
67%
20%
13%
46 57 11 0
24 Sep. 2022
CHA
Chayka
3 - 0
Rubikon
FRK
52%
24%
24%
45 41 4 +1
18 Sep. 2022
MET
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
1 - 2
Chayka
CHA
39%
25%
37%
44 40 4 +1