Vasco da Gama AC vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
60.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+290%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
4 - 0
VAS
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 3
AND
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
VAS
3 - 2
ALT
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 4
VAS
44%
23%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VAS
0 - 5
RIO
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 5
PAY
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
PLA
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 0
RIO
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
PLA
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |