Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
30.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 0
VAR
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
VAR
1 - 0
OEL
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
3 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 1
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
FCP
1 - 0
VAR
92%
6%
2%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
31%
29%
41%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 1
VIT
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
VIT
4 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |