Varzim vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
41.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPC
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 2
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 0
UNM
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
OLI
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
UNM
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 2
ORI
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |