Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 0
VAR
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAS
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
LEX
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
SPC
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 0
ACA
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPC
58%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 0
MAF
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |