Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 3
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 0
FEI
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 4
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
VAR
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 3
SPC
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |