Varzim vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
SCP
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 2
AVE
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEX
3 - 0
VAR
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ACV
2 - 2
VAR
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLH
0 - 3
VSC
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 2
OLH
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLH
2 - 3
FAF
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
OLH
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OLH
0 - 0
SPC
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |