Varzim vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
5º
29
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
VAR
14%
24%
62%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
ANA
78%
16%
6%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
SLB
5%
16%
79%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 3
SAO
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
FEL
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 3
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |