Varzim vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 2
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
MAF
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
CHA
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
POR
18%
25%
58%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
VSC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |