Varzim vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
42%
30%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 3
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLH
0 - 1
VAR
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
GFC
3 - 1
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIZ
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VSC
2 - 0
PEN
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAM
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |