Segunda Liga Round 3

Varzim vs Leixões analysis

Varzim Leixões
59 ELO 56
-13.9% Tilt -5.2%
3349º General ELO ranking 1848º
56º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Varzim
27.2%
Draw
23.6%
Leixões

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Varzim
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.6%
Win probability
Leixões
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Varzim
Leixões
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2015
SCF
SC Freamunde
1 - 1
Varzim
VAR
52%
26%
23%
58 61 3 0
09 Aug. 2015
VAR
Varzim
1 - 2
Famalicão
FAM
46%
28%
26%
59 58 1 -1
02 Aug. 2015
CHA
Chaves
0 - 2
Varzim
VAR
64%
22%
14%
57 68 11 +2
11 Jul. 2015
ARO
Arouca
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
66%
21%
13%
57 69 12 0
10 Jun. 2015
CAS
Casa Pia AC
1 - 1
Varzim
VAR
31%
28%
42%
57 53 4 0

Matches

Leixões
Leixões
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2015
LEX
Leixões
0 - 1
Atlético CP
ATL
47%
25%
28%
57 57 0 0
08 Aug. 2015
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 0
Leixões
LEX
61%
23%
16%
57 64 7 0
02 Aug. 2015
MAF
Mafra
0 - 2
Leixões
LEX
44%
26%
30%
56 55 1 +1
14 Jul. 2015
LEX
Leixões
1 - 1
Gil Vicente
GFC
24%
25%
52%
56 67 11 0
23 May. 2015
POR
Portimonense
1 - 1
Leixões
LEX
60%
23%
18%
55 59 4 +1