Varzim vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LEX
1 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FCM
2 - 2
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MAI
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
GON
1 - 1
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 0
GON
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
GON
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
GON
1 - 0
FCB
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
GON
1 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |