Varzim vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
6º
24
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 3
LUS
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
LUS
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 1
FEL
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
FEL
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
3 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
SPC
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |