Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
TIR
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
INF
0 - 0
VAR
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
OSL
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 2
VAR
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 1
FAF
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
0 - 0
TIR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
INF
1 - 1
FAF
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |