Varzim vs Amarante analysis


55	ELO	58
-8.2%	Tilt	-14.8%
3376º	General ELO ranking	3484º
56º	Country ELO ranking	59º
ELO win probability

41.5%

Varzim

27.4%

Draw

31.1%

Amarante

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%

27.4%

Draw

0-0

8.9%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.3%

31.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+14%

-31%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

21

3º

8º

4º

13

2º

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	30	30	1º	100%
2º	26	26	2º	100%
3º	22	22	3º	100%
4º	21	21	4º	100%
5º	14	14	5º	100%
6º	14	14	6º	100%
7º	13	13	7º	100%
8º	13	13	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Jan. 2025	SAO 4 - 1 VAR 38% 28% 34%	57	54	3	0
18 Jan. 2025	VAR 2 - 1 TRO 49% 26% 24%	56	54	2	+1
12 Jan. 2025	SAN 1 - 2 VAR 26% 27% 47%	56	44	12	0
04 Jan. 2025	VAR 3 - 2 VIL 58% 24% 19%	56	48	8	0
15 Dec. 2024	AMA 0 - 1 VAR 54% 25% 21%	54	58	4	+2

Matches

Amarante

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Jan. 2025	VIL 0 - 1 AMA 28% 27% 46%	57	47	10	0
18 Jan. 2025	AMA 0 - 0 FAF 55% 25% 20%	57	52	5	0
12 Jan. 2025	AMA 1 - 1 BRA 47% 26% 27%	57	55	2	0
04 Jan. 2025	LUS 1 - 0 AMA 47% 25% 27%	58	56	2	-1
15 Dec. 2024	AMA 0 - 1 VAR 54% 25% 21%	58	54	4	0