Varzim vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIZ
1 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 0
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
3 - 2
VAR
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 1
VAR
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 3
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAM
3 - 0
AMA
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 0
TIR
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 3
AMA
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 0
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |